Month: August 2023

Rich Posson: ReformedAdamSmith @rich_posson Nice analog chart, but analogs end, and sometimes abruptly with no warning. It is a piece of evidence of cyclical behavior. I am a cyclist of markets and the economy. I do not see predictive evidence. […]

I show charts from the 1700s of inflation, interest rates, GDP, and the stock market. I present outlook to 2030 and insight for this decade. Keep in mind that my service assists with what will occur during a decade, a […]

Inflation since 1775. Spikes above 5% lasted about a year. Less often were 3 years. And 1970s was an odd period. Mostly transitory. #inflation #InflationReductionAct Super cycles and long-term cyclical patterns (not shown) are similar as those used in the […]

Since the lowest price in 2009, the SP500 index rose more than 500% within a long-term business cycle. The model tracks, and forecasts fluctuations along the path of the long-term economic growth and bull market of the stock market. This […]