The business cycle model shows a peak in US interest rates that suggests limited upside in rates through 2025. Inflation likely to erode. Banking crisis likely to resolve. See model-based chart.
The October CPI inflation rate released November 10 was 7.8% from prior year. Interest rates dropped as investors panicked to buy bonds. The stock market surged on the news. The business cycle model turned long-term bullish the stock market a […]
It was late 2021 when the business cycle model opinion forecast a bear market for US stocks during 2022. The model also called for a setback in PMIs that correlate with the GDP of the US economy. Overall, the model […]
When corn won’t pop it may explode.USDA showed lower corn and bean acres than the average trader guess. A price surge is underway.Minutes before the report I told subscribers and followers (for free) that a basket of indicators leaned toward […]
The model had forecast to be bullish from Feb 1 of this year into a summer peak for specific type of trend within a long-term bull market. Along the way, investors sold on fear from surging interest rates, followed by […]